Results 1 to 5 of 5
  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2001
    Location
    Lorient, just back from a second round Atlantic trip
    Posts
    3,373

    Default Hurricane/storm warning for Madeira

    PWEK89 (1).gif



    hurricane leslie forecast/advisory number 63
    nws national hurricane center miami fl al132018
    0300 utc fri oct 12 2018

    changes in watches and warnings with this advisory...

    The government of portugal has changed the tropical storm watch to
    a tropical storm warning for madeira island.

    Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

    A tropical storm warning is in effect for...
    * madeira island

    a tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

    Hurricane center located near 30.9n 33.9w at 12/0300z
    position accurate within 20 nm

    present movement toward the east-northeast or 70 degrees at 23 kt

    estimated minimum central pressure 969 mb
    max sustained winds 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt.
    64 kt....... 0ne 65se 65sw 0nw.
    50 kt....... 50ne 100se 100sw 50nw.
    34 kt.......140ne 180se 160sw 180nw.
    12 ft seas..240ne 300se 420sw 360nw.
    Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
    miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

    Repeat...center located near 30.9n 33.9w at 12/0300z
    at 12/0000z center was located near 30.4n 35.2w

    forecast valid 12/1200z 32.1n 29.8w
    max wind 80 kt...gusts 100 kt.
    64 kt... 0ne 50se 50sw 0nw.
    50 kt... 40ne 90se 90sw 40nw.
    34 kt...140ne 170se 160sw 180nw.

    Forecast valid 13/0000z 33.3n 23.5w
    max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.
    64 kt... 0ne 40se 40sw 0nw.
    50 kt... 40ne 70se 80sw 40nw.
    34 kt...120ne 150se 150sw 170nw.

    Forecast valid 13/1200z 34.0n 18.0w
    max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
    64 kt... 0ne 30se 30sw 0nw.
    50 kt... 40ne 50se 60sw 30nw.
    34 kt...100ne 130se 140sw 150nw.

    Forecast valid 14/0000z 33.5n 15.5w
    max wind 55 kt...gusts 65 kt.
    50 kt... 20ne 30se 40sw 20nw.
    34 kt... 80ne 100se 100sw 130nw.

    Forecast valid 15/0000z 31.5n 15.0w...post-tropical
    max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
    34 kt... 50ne 40se 40sw 70nw.

    Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 150 nm
    on day 4 and 175 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 15 kt each day

    outlook valid 16/0000z 29.0n 18.0w...post-trop/remnt low
    max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

    Outlook valid 17/0000z 28.0n 24.0w...post-trop/remnt low
    max wind 25 kt...gusts 35 kt.

    Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 30.9n 33.9w

    next advisory at 12/0900z
    oh no, yet another sailing blog
    http://sybrancaleone.blogspot.com/

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Hopefully somewhere warm
    Posts
    8,445

    Default Re: Hurricane/storm warning for Madeira

    Might make it's way to Portugal after that, but the models diverge a lot so maybe not >

    http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=large&mode...23&skewtstep=0

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Atlantic
    Posts
    17,771

    Default Re: Hurricane/storm warning for Madeira

    A week or so ago, the forecasts gave it a landfall in Gran Canaria so we dodged the bullet there. Some suggestion that Lisbon may cop it.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Hopefully somewhere warm
    Posts
    8,445

    Default Re: Hurricane/storm warning for Madeira

    Quote Originally Posted by capnsensible View Post
    A week or so ago, the forecasts gave it a landfall in Gran Canaria so we dodged the bullet there. Some suggestion that Lisbon may cop it.
    ICON EU model still has it turning south over Madeira but running out of steam seems like before it gets to you >
    https://www.windy.com/-Wind-gusts-gu...4,7,i:pressure

    http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=large&mode...23&skewtstep=0

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Hopefully somewhere warm
    Posts
    8,445

    Default Re: Hurricane/storm warning for Madeira

    Models starting to agree more, looks like could get a bit wet and breezy up the west coast -
    http://www.severe-weather.eu/recent-...y-in-portugal/

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Latest YBW News

Find Boats For Sale

to
to