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  1. #31
    Join Date
    Jun 2007
    Location
    Home: North West, Boat: The Clyde
    Posts
    3,568

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Quote Originally Posted by Martin_J View Post
    Take a thought for all the boats and crews still out in the Irish Sea doing the Fastnet race...

    We took the (difficult) decision to turn back just 40 miles short of the Fastnet Rock...............
    No shame in that, seems like a good call. Great achievement, notwithstanding.

  2. #32
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    West Sussex / Hants
    Posts
    28,580

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Martin J,

    seems a very good call indeed, going around a lump of rock just for the tee shirt can wait, it's not going anywhere !
    Anderson 22 Owners Association - For info please ask here or PM me.

  3. #33
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Hopefully somewhere warm
    Posts
    9,394

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Quote Originally Posted by KompetentKrew View Post
    It seemed like the windspeed was much higher on Tuesday than predicted by windy just a day or two before. In excess of 30 knots as we came out of the lee of Portland Bill; I'm sure I even saw a gust of 40kts. My recollection is that Windy was predicting less than 20kts.

    My crew was not happy, and we turned back. I would probably have felt the same, had I the brains to identify the danger.
    So much on the web!

    Found this site > http://www.weathercast.co.uk/world-w...bsid/3857.html

    With data from Isle of Portland


    So at 15:00 showing 19Kts gusting 25Kts, then I just happen to have a little script set up which saves GFS gribs to dropbox so same time from the gfs forecast shows >>



    18Kts gusting 26Kts, pretty bang on! But different from your experience, which I think shows just how much localised conditions can vary so much even over short distances. The weather models really can't cope with stuff like that.

    And it did do much worse later on, 21.00 forecast 18/G23 instead of the actual 24/G32.
    Last edited by GHA; 08-08-19 at 09:23.

  4. #34
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    Lympstone
    Posts
    1,170

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Over the past few months I have found the arome model on Windy to be pretty damn accurate on local effects which the coarser models cannot pick up - only 24 hours or so, so no good for forward planning, but excellent for confirming ‘go’ and weather routing on longer passages.
    Fools know they are right.

  5. #35
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Location
    Boat (now back in) the Clyde
    Posts
    5,439

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Wind already starting to build, and the few pontoons starting to fill up, in the Outer Hebrides. But beautiful full sun currently.
    Time to load up the Kindle methinks

  6. #36
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Returned to South Coast from West Coast of Scotland.
    Posts
    1,773

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    The bad weather doesn't really hit Scotland until Friday but it does seem to linger awhile then.

  7. #37
    Join Date
    Jul 2018
    Location
    Bewdley, Worcs
    Posts
    408

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Safely made it into Crosshaven, S. Ireland tonight to hole up ... its wild tonight, 20 gusting 30 ... raining buckets. Tomorrow should be spectacular

    Hoping to get into Kinsale on Sunday.

  8. #38
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    West Sussex / Hants
    Posts
    28,580

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Chimet should be worth keeping an eye on - real time weather readouts from Chichester entrance, Chichester harbour, Bramble Bank mid-Solent and Southampton Water;

    http://www.chimet.co.uk/(S(00vvo4y1x...)/Default.aspx
    Anderson 22 Owners Association - For info please ask here or PM me.

  9. #39
    Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Location
    Southminster, essex
    Posts
    9,227

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    Nipped across to to ostend from bradwell to ostend on wednesday. Wind 20/25 kts gusts to just over 30. Took 14 hours but i was SH and managed to be sea sick for 8 of them . Chucked up 9 times. Glad i did not leave it until saturday as planned
    It is all down to the fact that my wife does not understand me !!

  10. #40
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Location
    West Sussex / Hants
    Posts
    28,580

    Default Re: Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

    I don't suffer seasickness, but do get severe CVS cyclic vomiting syndrome every 10 days or when stressed, when it hits I'm turning myself violently inside out every few minutes for three days and nights, no sleep - so I do know what you must have felt like singlehanded.

    You did bloody well to keep control and make a safe arrival
    Anderson 22 Owners Association - For info please ask here or PM me.

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