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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Atlantic
    Posts
    20,874

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Weather forecasting now is getting better and more accurate all the time.

    For those interested, try https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane for good solid predictions. Also shows signs of a couple more that may be spinning up over the next week.

  2. #12
    Join Date
    Apr 2019
    Location
    Wales
    Posts
    705

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by capnsensible View Post
    Weather forecasting now is getting better and more accurate all the time.

    For those interested, try https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane for good solid predictions. Also shows signs of a couple more that may be spinning up over the next week.
    That far out is well, ...

    Quote Originally Posted by The MetOffice
    The nature of our atmosphere means it is not possible to predict the weather on a particular day months to years ahead.
    At best we'll get, "It's a 50% chance of being wet." 'twas ever thus!

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/researc...nge/user-guide

  3. #13
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    The Northern Powerhouse
    Posts
    2,814

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by capnsensible View Post
    Weather forecasting now is getting better and more accurate all the time.

    For those interested, try https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane for good solid predictions. Also shows signs of a couple more that may be spinning up over the next week.
    Good imagery there. An interesting development NW of Cape Verde.

  4. #14
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    The Northern Powerhouse
    Posts
    2,814

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by Luminescent View Post
    That far out is well, ...



    At best we'll get, "It's a 50% chance of being wet." 'twas ever thus!

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/researc...nge/user-guide
    There is a 100% chance of it being wet.

  5. #15
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Location
    jersey, CI
    Posts
    918

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    I have friends who live in Treasure Cay Abaco,

    They bought a beautiful Cattana 45 last year ..

    They posted pictures on FB on Sunday morning of how they had secured it in canal on the island with 18 anchor points all around it.

    None of their wide circle of friends has heard anything from them since,...the news coming out of Abaco is heartbreaking....I understand power, phones, internet are down, though some people still seem to have managed to post pictures to the internet

    The severity of this storm, couple with the low lying nature of the island and the size of the surge, and the news of the devastation of the island, and lack of any message to friends, leaves me very worried for them

    I had a frisky sail back to Jersey today in winds of 20 knots,,,,great sailing, well powered up and heeled. a storm for us is 40 knots - my wife and I were talking about and trying to imagine what 220 mph winds must be like

  6. #16
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Hopefully somewhere warm
    Posts
    9,486

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian


  7. #17
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    The Northern Powerhouse
    Posts
    2,814

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    Quote Originally Posted by GHA View Post
    A proper mess. Not as bad as Irma in the BVIs, but it's an academic difference.

  8. #18
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Location
    jersey, CI
    Posts
    918

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    The rescue helicopters are now getting in, the hurricane stopped over Grand Bahama for two days

    The Bahamas are so low lying, barely 20 m above sea level at the highest point, that surge has just obliterated so many of the houses

    More than 20 dead confirmed, it is suggested that there are many more ...100s are currently reported missing

    I have got word tonight that my friends in Treasure Cay Abaco are safe, but no word directly from them ..I have friends too in BVI, which as many will know was hard hit 2 years ago...but the population of BVI is tiny compared with the Bahamas, and BVi has steep hills which gave safe refuge

    No doubt the media will lose interest quickly in the devastating aftermath of the hurricane, and will focus on the US impact when the depowered storm arrives there....the implications and consequences will live on for years for those directly caught up in it

  9. #19
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Location
    Emsworth Hants
    Posts
    12,522

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    A Rastafarian in the Abacos was interviewed on the BBC news this morning and he said "There are bodies everywhere".

  10. #20
    Join Date
    Nov 2016
    Posts
    2,546

    Default Re: Hurricane Dorian

    I suggested four days ago, in #6, that Dorian's energy would come this way do do us some harm, and I'm not the only one to think that....

    https://www.express.co.uk/news/weath...torm-gabrielle

    However, other forecasters are pointing to the opposite - just like our politics:

    '.....But forecasters - and the bookies - are beginning to favour another outcome: that the storm would lead to a heatwave.'

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